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The Latest Predictive Marketing Techniques to Boost Your E-Commerce!

Insights Aug 16, 2019 Robert Heger 12 min read

Predicting your customers’ next steps is no longer a novel tactic. In fact, predictive marketing is more popular and more possible than ever before.

We’ve put together a list of our favorite predictive analytics-based use cases, and described them below. Why are these our favorites? Because they work consistently, and many can be employed immediately, so long as the company’s data is ready to be put to work.

Check out the use cases below and what you’ll need to deploy them, and get ready to look to the future.

What is Predictive Marketing?

Machine learning, artificial intelligence, big data science—whichever term you wish to use, predictive marketing is the new frontier for e-commerce marketers big and small. 

Predictive marketing is defined as a marketing technique that utilizes predictive analytics to determine which marketing strategies and actions have the highest probability to succeed or fail.

So instead of flying blind, marketers can leverage their vast amounts of data to identify patterns and anticipate future customer behaviors, sales trends and marketing outcomes.

How Predictive Marketing Works

Predictive Marketing uses data-science to collect vast amounts of information and predictive analytics in order to scientifically guide marketers to the best marketing action.
The core analytic principle is that by analyzing past historical data, we can predict future activity – very similar to temperature forecasting. So instead of guessing what the temperature will be tomorrow, science uses a mix of historic and current data to predict in an accurate manner.

Benefits of Predictive Marketing

While gathering customer data to improve future marketing efforts is not a new practice, modern strategies use machine learning and artificial intelligence algorithms to process previously unimaginable volumes of information. 

Marketers can take advantage of their customer profiles to develop predictive models, identify more profitable leads, and analyze program performance. In addition, organizations that use predictive strategies have more opportunities to appeal to their desired audience, creating personalized, actionable responses to any predicted situation.

Most importantly, it’s now flexible to use in various business scenarios, accessible to marketers and easy-to-implement.

Challenges of Predictive Marketing

Predictive marketing acts as a well-oiled machine. Siloed data, varying insights, and delayed reporting all act as roadblocks, preventing access to key insights for more efficient resource spend for sales and marketing departments.

The point is to create more opportunities to put a tailored message in front of an interested audience, and for that you’ll need the right tools for the job.

The Killer Combination

The approach to a more competitive data strategy is simple:

Predictive Marketing + Customer Data Platform

Marketers do their best to deliver a personalized customer experience, but they often get lost among the different technological solutions available and even worse, data gets fragmented across their marketing stack.

Thanks to the unique combination of the Customer Data Platform (CDP) and real-time Predictive Analytics, we’re able to unpack this powerful duo to unleash predictive marketing techniques that deliver results.

 

The Customer Data Platform—Defined

In a world filled with technology, and increasing complexities, it’s easy to forget about the people actually making the purchasing decisions.

CDPs gather and organize information about these customers, giving retailers the chance to turn that data into ideal shopping experiences.

The software integrates with your company’s customer data to un-silo, identify, merge and reorganize it, directing all communication channels to a central data hub.

David Raab, founder and principal of Raab & Associates, built a five-point checklist to identify a Customer Data Platform.

Ingest Data

Any CDP can organize your data, but with the right CDP additional layers can be stacked to start acting on it: A/B testing, campaign analysis, recommendation strategies—and you guessed it—predictive analytics!

Predictive Analytics—Defined

The use of algorithms to predict the likelihood of an event occurring in the future (e.g. a customer’s likelihood of a second purchase).

It’s rather powerful, too.

When discussing the impact of predictions on organizational performance, Forbes concluded, “predictive marketers are 1.8x more likely to consistently exceed shared organizational goals, and 2.9x more likely to report revenue growth at rates higher than the industry average.”

In essence, predictive analytics:

  1. Promotes timeliness by predicting your customer’s next move.
  2. Uncovers knowledge by scoring customers based off event possibilities.
  3. Improves marketing automation by segmenting communication with customer scores. 
  4. Enhances the competitive edge by becoming a well-oiled machine.

This is the predictive analytics norm, and it’s highly effective. But you’ll need to dig deeper if you want to build a full customer profile and deliver a more relevant marketing experience: it’s all about the unique blend of the two.

The Unique Combination

Imagine the alternative, where a holistic approach to customer data is underutilized or unavailable. Information feeding the analytical models are incomplete and limited to whatever siloed data is temporary unlocked. The resulting predictions wouldn’t pass as accurate, leaving core decisions being made from shaky analytical foundations.

For some this is a reality—but it doesn’t need to be.

Combining a CDP with predictive analytics forms an exceptional superpower. When done right, we’re able to create an online experience that truly resonates with your target customer. 

Most importantly, a prediction-powered CDP can unlock your marketing capability that’s currently sitting dormant.

Check out these use cases and start creating ‘sweet spots’ for your brand.

Finding Your ‘Sweet Spot’—Use Cases

Anyone trying to sell a one-size-fits-all predictive marketing solution is a warning sign for snake oil software. The very premise of predictive modeling is that the model is tailor made for a specific data set and specific goal in mind.

Thus, these solutions are exceedingly flexible and can be capitalized by the unique nature of your customer, company or industry.

And to carry the essence of how custom predictive marketing can be, many of these individual predictive analytic solutions can be interrelated as well, often acting as a combined force to tackle difficult challenges.

Consider for instance: delivering a message to the right customer (open email prediction), at the right place (preferred channel prediction), at the right time (optimal email time prediction).

(1.) Purchase Predictions

What is a Purchase Prediction?

We use predictive analytics to analyze precursors to determine whether a purchase will happen with a given customer. This information is provided as a score, which can be used to segment communication; a deciding factor when considering which customer is worth further marketing and sales investment.

You wouldn’t send a promotional offer to a customer that will make the purchase anyway, while others need a promotional nudge from inbound marketing to convert. 

Real-World Results

Purchase prediction is one of the strongest use-cases for predictive analytics. The model takes into consideration multiple customer-specific variables (age, time between the first and last purchase, purchase frequency, etc.) to make a prediction.

The bare minimum is one month worth of customer data, though the more information that’s available, the more precise the prediction will be.

In the example below, online travel agency Kiwi.com wanted to start segmenting their communication with the use of predictive analytics.

Predictive Marketing Technique: Purchase Predictions

When communicating to the various segmented customers, each strategy was different: 

  • With a high probability of purchase, customers were retargeted to help finish their purchase.
  • Medium probability received web push notifications, offering a discount in hopes of converting into a sale.
  • While a low probability had its own low-cost campaign in place, in an effort to salvage those uninterested in a purchase.

Why segment at all?

Where the click-through rate (CTR) of a retargeted ad is 10x higher than the CTR of a typical display ad, we can take it a step further by using predictive analytics to improve this average. 

If we only remarket to customers who we predicted will most likely revisit the website, purchase again, or submit their details, we can save on ad costs while getting higher conversions.

That’s precisely what happened when Kiwi.com employed the killer combo. They saw a whopping +15% return on ad spend, with a +34% conversion rate and a -16% reduction of cost per purchase.

In fact, the new retargeting strategy performed even better than Facebook Pixel, thanks to the added power of purchase predictions.

(2.) Open Email Prediction

What is Open Email Prediction?

For some brands, email is the most essential channel for customer communication.

Where the average value of an email address in your database is £84.50, why not take proactive steps to ensure that customers are kept engaged, and the integrity of your email database is secure?

Open email predictions uncovers whether or not a customer will open your next email.

Armed with this knowledge, brands can atone the frequency of their email communication, reducing the likelihood of an unsubscribe or an email ending up in spam—a damaging result for any brand.

Real-World Results

When predicting the likelihood of a customer opening an email campaign, the aim is to approach the most engaged customers first, skipping those uninterested.

In the use case below, we challenged ZlavaDna, a CEE-based coupon platform, with a simple hypothesis: Do we really need to send a newsletter to everyone? What if we only approach the most engaged customers?

With the use of predictive analytics, customers were scored based on data found in their profile, assembled by the CDP, including previous open rates, recent web activity and the comparison of other like-minded customers.

The score is then used to produce segmentation, where frequency capping is introduced, limiting the amount of communication that’s allowed for each segment.
ZlavaDna targeted the 20% of customers with the highest likelihood of opening their emails in an attempt to minimize the amount of customers targeted, while maximizing the impact of each email sent.

Take a look at the results:

Predictive Marketing Technique: Open Email Predictions

To sum it up, ZlavaDna was able to send 1 million emails with an almost 4x higher open rate and a 3x higher click-through rate, resulting in the same revenue as opposed to sending 4.5 million emails.

They found their sweet-spot success by addressing customers as individuals, considering their preferences when fine-tuning email frequency.

As an added bonus, the client was able to save by sending fewer redundant emails.

(3.) Optimal Email Time Prediction

What is Optimal Email Time Prediction?

Where open email predictions improves frequency, optimal email time prediction aims to identify the exact time that an email should hit the inbox

It’s crucial, since customer preferences widely vary. Some are more inclined to open and read an email newsletter in the morning, or just outside of work hours, and others filter through retail emails over lunch.

By knowing the precise time an email should be deployed, marketers can hope to achieve:

  • Leveraging otherwise untapped big data.
  • Automate email dispatching without user intervention.
  • Increase open and click-through-rates.

Real-World Results

All it takes is an initial customer event to occur, called a session start, or one opened email to begin to understand a preferred communication time. We’re all creatures of habit, so any additional sessions or opened emails will narrow down this time frame to the perfect one.

With Missguided the hypothesis was very simple: When should we send our newsletters to ensure they’ll be read?

This time, instead of a score, each customer is assigned an optimal email time and segmented in order to automize communication. Here’s how it all went down:

Predictive Marketing Technique: Optimal Email Time Predictions

With a sample size of about 100,000 customers, there were no surprises when the results came in. Predicting an optimal email time ultimately improved the clickthrough rates by +12%, which could even be seen as a +13% uptick on revenue.

So instead of endlessly searching the web for a real answer to the question, “When is the best time to send an email?” Missguided took it a step further with predictive marketing to personalize the email send individually with each and every customer.

(4.) Battling Customer Churn

What’s Churn Prediction?

The aim of churn prediction is to catch straying customers as early as possible, giving them incentives to re-engage before it’s too late.

Since only about 1 out of 26 unhappy customers complain, the rest of the 96% churn silently

It’s time to ask yourself, “Are we losing customers? If so, how?”

As AMEX’s Marketing Development Manager for Global Corporate Payments, Simon Taranto, recalled, “the customer team didn’t know why these people would churn – we didn’t have any insights, only hunches as to why those customers didn’t work out.”

Thousands of companies find themselves in a similar situation, since customers tend to break the relationship sooner or later, it’s best to keep informed in an attempt to stop it from reoccurring. Those who unsubscribe, grow cold, or turn to a competitor are lost opportunities.

Though there’s hope for a better outcome. 

Predictive analytics can highlight those who are most likely to churn, providing room for early action. Through the minimization of attrition, we find the importance for maximum customer retention and grow our Customer Lifetime Value (CLV).

Real-World Example:

The objective is simple: identify the customers likely to churn with the aim to retain them and thereby increase overall conversions and revenues over time.

All it takes is at least 180 days worth of customer data, including sessions or login events, to fully comprehend the situation at hand. Armed with enough information, customers are scored and segmented off their likelihood to churn.

Actions can then be introduced to plug the leak in the customer bucket, including tailored messages, selective discounts, or improving steps in the buyer journey.

Here’s what proactive churn prediction looks like:

By identifying key next-likely-actions, marketers are not only empowered with the knowledge of churn likelihood, but obtain the opportunity to influence the outcome. Thus, by targeting high vs low propensity segments with personalized messages, brands can eliminate blast campaigns, achieving similar or better results while saving time and money.

(5.) In-Session Prediction

What is an In-Session Prediction?

Excited customers who are impending conversion, tend to follow similar behavioral patterns. By identifying those that are ready, marketers can help them finish their session with an incentive to purchase.

Incentives can come in all shapes and sizes, however some of the most effective now come as a web layer, advertising a one-time promotional deal that doesn’t aggravate the customer, though effectively communicates promotional value.

Real-World Example:

With little over 1000 customers a month, brands can unlock behavioral insights that can boost in-session results and promote web page personalization.

So how do you choose which banner is the best to show?

Historical data is leveraged to score and segment customers. This segmentation can then be used to automate tailored incentives that push each customer to purchase.

With a high propensity to purchase, discounts are not required since a purchase is likely on the horizon. However, free-shipping as well as up- and cross-sale opportunities can be presented with an added sense of urgency with the implementation of a simple countdown timer.

Let’s take a look at how this would work:

Predictive Marketing Technique: In-Session Predictions

(+) Custom Predictions

For more advanced users, there is always a possibility to create custom predictions. As the scope, flexibility, and urgency of action can reflect any business scenario.

Final Thoughts

Where the Customer Data Platform meets predictive analytics lies a sweet spot aimed to give your marketing strategies a running start, unlocking valuable insights that reduce risks, aiding intelligent decisions, and create differentiated customer experiences.

Based on these advantages, there’s really no question at all: employing predictive marketing techniques will help you maximize your marketing objectives, and increase your sales potential.

Does your current marketing software offer organized data and added layers designed to help your business grow faster? If you’re missing this killer combo, you’re marketing with an incomplete customer profile and worse, the insights provided by predictive analytics could be aiding the decisions made by your competitors.

Exponea helps high-growth brands such as Desigual, Missguided and Kiwi.com drive more sales with super-targeted, highly relevant marketing campaigns.

We predict an exceptional year for revenue growth if you decide to join them.

Let’s talk more over a quick demo →

 

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